Operário AM vs Holanda EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
OPE
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 3
IRA
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
HOL
4 - 3
OPE
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAS
6 - 2
OPE
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Holanda EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
FAS
2 - 2
HOL
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 1
FAS
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
HOL
4 - 3
OPE
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PRI
2 - 0
HOL
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
HOL
4 - 1
MAN
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |