Apertura Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Once Caldas vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 2
ONC
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ONC
3 - 0
JUN
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
HUI
2 - 0
ONC
25%
26%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 1
SFE
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
ONC
3 - 1
UNI
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
JUN
2 - 1
SFE
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SFE
2 - 2
UNI
67%
21%
13%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
SFE
2 - 1
HUI
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
SFE
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 1
SFE
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |