Once Caldas vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
ONC
1 - 0
IND
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ONC
2 - 1
COR
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 1
ONC
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
AME
2 - 1
ONC
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 1
ONC
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
CAR
5 - 2
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CUC
2 - 0
CAR
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
RSC
1 - 0
CAR
18%
25%
58%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUN
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 3
SAB
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |