Once Caldas vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
ONC
2 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
5 - 0
ONC
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
ONC
2 - 3
EQU
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
PER
1 - 1
ONC
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 2
ONC
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 3
MIL
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 0
CUC
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 0
MIL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MIL
0 - 0
QUI
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
4 - 1
MIL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |