Once Caldas vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
3 - 1
ONC
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ONC
2 - 0
MIL
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PAS
3 - 2
ONC
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ONC
1 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ONC
1 - 1
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
JUN
2 - 1
CUC
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CAL
4 - 1
JUN
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
JUN
1 - 2
IND
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
JUN
30%
28%
43%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
JUN
2 - 1
HUI
68%
19%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |