Apertura Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
ONC
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
ALI
4 - 1
ONC
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
ONC
2 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
ONC
2 - 2
AME
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 0
PAT
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 0
TOL
36%
29%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
TOL
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 0
SFE
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 0
MIL
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |