Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 2
ONC
41%
29%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 2
BUC
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
SFE
3 - 2
ONC
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
JUN
3 - 0
ONC
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ONC
0 - 0
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
HUI
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ENV
3 - 1
TOL
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 1
MIL
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
TOL
60%
22%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 0
ALI
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |