Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CUC
4 - 1
ONC
20%
25%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
ONC
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
PAS
4 - 0
ONC
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
ONC
5 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 0
ONC
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
TOL
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
AGU
54%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |