Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ONC
29%
25%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ONC
0 - 1
MIL
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
ONC
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ONC
3 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 1
ONC
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 1
CUC
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 0
TOL
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
HUI
1 - 0
TOL
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
JUN
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SFE
3 - 0
TOL
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |