Omonia Nicosia vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
6º
6º
61
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
APO
3 - 1
OMO
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OMO
1 - 1
APO
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
OMO
24%
27%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
APO
0 - 2
OMO
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OMO
0 - 2
APO
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
APO
0 - 0
PAF
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PAF
2 - 2
ARI
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
PAF
22%
27%
51%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
PAF
1 - 1
DOX
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
PAF
1 - 1
ARI
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |