Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
REN
0 - 1
OMI
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
OMI
53%
25%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
OMI
1 - 1
TOC
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
JEF
1 - 0
OMI
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ZWE
1 - 0
OMI
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MON
4 - 1
ZWE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MIT
0 - 1
MON
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
REN
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
VER
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
JEF
1 - 1
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |