Omiya Ardija vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
OMI
1 - 0
KYO
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
VVA
1 - 0
OMI
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
EHI
2 - 1
OMI
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
OMI
1 - 4
GIR
52%
25%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
REN
1 - 0
OMI
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
FAG
1 - 0
MAT
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
MAC
2 - 0
FAG
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FAG
0 - 1
THE
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
TOK
0 - 0
FAG
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
FAG
1 - 0
ALB
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |