Olympique Marseille vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 3
MAR
10%
19%
70%
|
90 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
LYO
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
76%
17%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
REN
1 - 2
MAR
24%
25%
50%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
LHA
81%
14%
5%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
LIL
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
DIJ
1 - 2
VAL
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
AJA
58%
24%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |