Europa League Playoffs. Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Olympique Marseille vs Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
5 - 1
LIL
70%
19%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 3
MAR
12%
21%
67%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
5 - 2
RBL
49%
24%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
MPL
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
RBL
1 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
RBS
3 - 1
ALT
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 0
RBS
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AWM
2 - 6
RBS
37%
25%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
RBS
4 - 1
LAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -6 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LAS
1 - 0
RBS
16%
21%
64%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |