Olympique Marseille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
REN
2 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LYO
1 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
TFC
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 2
MAR
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASS
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 2
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
TFC
0 - 2
LEN
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 3
PSG
11%
20%
69%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
REN
2 - 0
LEN
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 0
CAE
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |