Ligue 1 Round 5

Olympique Marseille vs Bastia analysis

Olympique Marseille Bastia
89 ELO 83
-4.9% Tilt -7.8%
33º General ELO ranking 558º
Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
64.8%
Olympique Marseille
20.6%
Draw
14.6%
Bastia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
Olympique Marseille
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.6%
Win probability
Bastia
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olympique Marseille
-3%
-1%
Bastia

ELO progression

Olympique Marseille
Bastia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 1999
LEN
Lens
0 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
49%
25%
26%
88 87 1 0
15 Aug. 1999
MAR
Olympique Marseille
3 - 3
Saint-Étienne
ASS
73%
18%
10%
89 71 18 -1
05 Aug. 1999
LHA
Le Havre
0 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
27%
28%
46%
89 80 9 0
31 Jul. 1999
MAR
Olympique Marseille
3 - 0
CS Sedan
SED
71%
19%
11%
89 77 12 0
29 May. 1999
NAN
Nantes
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille
MAR
39%
28%
34%
88 86 2 +1

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 1999
BAS
Bastia
2 - 1
Nantes
NAN
37%
27%
36%
82 86 4 0
14 Aug. 1999
MON
Monaco
4 - 0
Bastia
BAS
68%
19%
13%
82 89 7 0
06 Aug. 1999
BAS
Bastia
3 - 0
Strasbourg
STR
47%
26%
27%
82 82 0 0
30 Jul. 1999
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
3 - 2
Bastia
BAS
67%
20%
13%
82 88 6 0
29 May. 1999
MPL
Montpellier
3 - 0
Bastia
BAS
51%
25%
24%
82 84 2 0