Olympique Marseille II vs Cassis-Carnoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
11º
6º
25
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
SCR
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
EUA
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
IST
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 5
MAR
59%
20%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
NIC
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 0
CAS
31%
24%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 1
CAS
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
EUA
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |