Olympique de Geneve vs Stade Payerne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
44%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
16º
6º
67
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique de Geneve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
ODG
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ODG
0 - 4
LAN
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ECH
4 - 1
ODG
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ODG
2 - 3
ROM
40%
23%
38%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 1
ODG
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Payerne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STA
5 - 2
MAR
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LAN
8 - 0
STA
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STA
0 - 2
ECH
58%
21%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ROM
4 - 2
STA
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
STA
2 - 3
FCA
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |