Olivenza vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
OLI
37%
26%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
EXT
2 - 0
OLI
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 0
DBN
31%
27%
42%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
VAL
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
AMA
67%
19%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
EXT
46%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
DBN
1 - 1
AMA
71%
19%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
3 - 1
SAM
40%
25%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |