Oliveira Hospital vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
OLI
13%
20%
68%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
AVA
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
OLI
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
OLI
0 - 1
SPB
9%
18%
73%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
OLI
2 - 1
MOR
10%
19%
71%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAN
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
PEN
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
BUS
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
PEN
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
BOA
3 - 1
PEN
83%
12%
4%
|
25 | 75 | 50 | 0 |