Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Jeunesse d'Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
OLI
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 1
MUR
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
OLI
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RUD
0 - 3
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
TRI
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Jeunesse d'Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
F91
4 - 2
JEU
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
DIF
1 - 2
JEU
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CSP
3 - 0
JEU
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
JEU
2 - 1
SWI
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
JEU
5 - 2
ETZ
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |