Olimpia vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 3
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
OLI
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
RES
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 2
12O
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
AME
3 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
OLI
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 1
GUA
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |