Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 4
OLI
18%
23%
59%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
LQE
1 - 5
OLI
15%
23%
62%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
SPO
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLI
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
CCP
3 - 1
RPA
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 3
CCP
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |