Championship Round 24

Oldham Athletic AFC vs Southampton analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Southampton
59 ELO 62
11.8% Tilt -2.4%
3827º General ELO ranking 330º
99º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
64%
Oldham Athletic AFC
19.6%
Draw
16.4%
Southampton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.4%
Win probability
Southampton
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+13%
-3%
Southampton

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Southampton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Dec. 1934
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
80%
12%
8%
60 76 16 0
26 Dec. 1934
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 3
Blackpool
BPO
49%
24%
27%
61 71 10 -1
25 Dec. 1934
BPO
Blackpool
4 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
68%
18%
14%
61 71 10 0
22 Dec. 1934
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 2
West Ham
WHU
50%
23%
27%
62 71 9 -1
15 Dec. 1934
NEW
Newcastle
4 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
80%
12%
8%
63 76 13 -1

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 1935
MUD
Manchester United
3 - 0
Southampton
SOU
66%
19%
15%
62 68 6 0
29 Dec. 1934
SOU
Southampton
0 - 0
Burnley
BUR
52%
23%
25%
62 66 4 0
26 Dec. 1934
SOU
Southampton
1 - 0
Swansea City
SWA
64%
20%
16%
62 60 2 0
25 Dec. 1934
SWA
Swansea City
0 - 1
Southampton
SOU
55%
23%
21%
61 61 0 +1
22 Dec. 1934
SOU
Southampton
2 - 1
Bury
BCF
49%
25%
26%
60 69 9 +1