Oldham Athletic AFC vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 1
BRA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
STF
1 - 2
OLD
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GIL
0 - 1
OLD
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
OLD
5 - 1
NOT
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 1
WOL
26%
25%
50%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FLE
5 - 4
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 3
OXF
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 0
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |