Oldham Athletic AFC vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
OLD
4 - 1
YEO
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 3
OLD
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
OLD
1 - 2
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
MKD
2 - 1
OLD
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
DON
2 - 1
OLD
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 1
CUM
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 3
CRE
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 1
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MKD
0 - 1
CRE
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CRE
3 - 2
NEW
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |