Oldham Athletic AFC vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 1
MAN
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 1
BRA
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
STF
1 - 2
OLD
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GIL
0 - 1
OLD
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
OLD
5 - 1
NOT
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 3
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NEW
3 - 2
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
NOR
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
WYC
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
GUL
0 - 2
CHE
24%
28%
49%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |