Old Boys vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
OLD
3 - 2
FCS
81%
12%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ALL
0 - 1
OLD
19%
19%
63%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
OLD
2 - 2
FCA
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LIE
0 - 3
OLD
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
OLD
3 - 6
FCK
86%
9%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCK
2 - 0
LER
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LER
5 - 3
FCK
61%
19%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DOR
2 - 1
LER
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LER
0 - 3
THU
17%
19%
65%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MOU
3 - 0
LER
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |