OH Leuven vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OH Leuven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LEU
4 - 1
RUP
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
LEU
5 - 1
OLY
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
LEU
0 - 0
HUL
90%
8%
2%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LEU
1 - 2
WAA
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CER
3 - 0
LEU
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
KVK
0 - 1
VAL
68%
18%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 0
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
PAU
4 - 3
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 5
LHA
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 3
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |