Paulista A2 . Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Oeste vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 2
OES
16%
23%
60%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
OES
1 - 0
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BAT
0 - 1
OES
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
OES
1 - 3
VOT
63%
22%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 2
OES
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
XVD
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIO
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
TAU
3 - 1
SAO
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
SER
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |