Oeste vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
OES
2 - 1
FFL
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 1
OES
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
OES
1 - 1
PAR
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ECS
1 - 0
OES
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
OES
0 - 1
ITU
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
ITU
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FFL
2 - 1
NOV
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
MIR
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
NOV
30%
28%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
YPI
3 - 2
NOV
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |