Odd II vs Fredrikstad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
10º
4º
31
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HIF
1 - 2
ODD
37%
22%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
ODD
5 - 2
AFK
79%
12%
9%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IKS
1 - 1
ODD
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ODD
5 - 3
DON
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
VIN
2 - 3
ODD
46%
21%
33%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FFK
1 - 2
MAN
55%
20%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FFK
3 - 0
POR
10%
16%
73%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +7 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
RIL
3 - 0
FFK
18%
18%
64%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -3 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
FFK
2 - 0
IKS
49%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
AFK
1 - 4
FFK
32%
20%
49%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |