Odd II vs Fredrikstad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
10º
4º
31
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Odd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HIF
1 - 2
ODD
36%
22%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
ODD
5 - 2
AFK
79%
12%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IKS
1 - 1
ODD
43%
22%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ODD
5 - 3
DON
85%
10%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
VIN
2 - 3
ODD
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FFK
1 - 2
MAN
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FFK
3 - 0
POR
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +6 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
RIL
1 - 1
FFK
17%
17%
66%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
FFK
2 - 0
IKS
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
AFK
1 - 4
FFK
30%
20%
50%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +2 |