Nürnberg II vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 2
NUR
65%
19%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 2
RAI
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
WAC
2 - 0
NUR
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
NUR
5 - 1
GRE
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 1
NUR
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HEI
1 - 4
ILL
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
AUG
2 - 3
HEI
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
HEI
1 - 0
BUC
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
HEI
2 - 0
EIC
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +4 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
MEM
2 - 1
HEI
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |