Numancia vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
OSA
2 - 2
NUM
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
LOR
71%
20%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VAD
2 - 3
NUM
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 1
NUM
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
OVI
3 - 1
NUM
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SEV
0 - 1
OVI
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
GIM
2 - 1
SEV
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SEV
1 - 1
LUG
38%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
SEV
50%
28%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SEV
1 - 1
CCF
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |