Numancia vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
XER
2 - 0
NUM
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
4 - 1
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 0
NUM
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 0
REC
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 1
NUM
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 2
MIR
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
MUR
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
REC
3 - 2
MUR
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
HUE
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 3
MUR
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |