Numancia vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
NUM
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NUM
3 - 0
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ELC
1 - 1
NUM
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
NUM
3 - 2
CCF
48%
25%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
REU
1 - 1
NUM
25%
29%
45%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
OSA
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
OSA
1 - 0
GRA
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ALM
0 - 1
OSA
38%
28%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
OSA
2 - 0
MLL
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
UDL
4 - 1
OSA
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |