Numancia vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1997 |
MAN
0 - 0
NUM
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
NUM
1 - 0
GIM
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
NUM
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
RSO
0 - 2
NUM
32%
30%
39%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
NUM
1 - 0
GIM
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1997 |
MAN
0 - 0
NUM
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
REC
1 - 0
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
MAN
0 - 0
TAL
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAN
42%
29%
29%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
MAN
1 - 0
ROB
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |