Numancia vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
EIB
1 - 2
NUM
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NUM
0 - 2
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 3
NUM
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NUM
2 - 0
PON
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MLL
0 - 0
NUM
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MIR
2 - 0
LUG
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 0
EIB
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 3
HER
44%
26%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 1
LUG
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 2
ALC
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |