Numancia vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
UDL
3 - 1
NUM
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
NUM
0 - 0
MAL
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 0
NUM
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
NUM
2 - 2
RAY
33%
26%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 1
NUM
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
GIR
3 - 1
LUG
66%
22%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ZAR
3 - 3
GIR
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GIR
2 - 0
FUE
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
PON
1 - 1
GIR
13%
23%
64%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
GIR
1 - 0
CDT
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |