Numancia vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
26.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
ALA
3 - 1
NUM
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
NUM
2 - 1
DEP
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
PON
0 - 1
NUM
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
NUM
1 - 1
MLL
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
REC
0 - 0
NUM
46%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
EIB
1 - 0
LUG
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
EIB
1 - 0
ALA
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
EIB
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
EIB
0 - 0
PON
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MLL
0 - 2
EIB
61%
23%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |