Numancia vs Calvo Sotelo Escatron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.1%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
ACF
2 - 1
NUM
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
NUM
4 - 1
AMI
89%
8%
4%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
BAR
0 - 6
NUM
25%
24%
52%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
NUM
5 - 0
SAB
94%
4%
1%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
NUM
2 - 0
AND
88%
8%
4%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Calvo Sotelo Escatron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
CSE
2 - 2
HUE
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
TAR
6 - 1
CSE
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
CSE
4 - 2
CDM
53%
21%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
AND
4 - 0
CSE
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |