Nueva Concepción vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
51.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SLC
8 - 1
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 1
ACH
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
NUE
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 5
IZT
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
COB
5 - 1
NUE
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 0
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 0
GUA
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SOL
2 - 2
GUA
22%
30%
48%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ANT
0 - 0
GUA
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |