Nueva Chicago vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 2
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 2
CHI
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAM
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
STM
72%
20%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
SUA
2 - 2
COL
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
SUA
58%
25%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SUA
3 - 0
ITA
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
STM
2 - 0
SUA
44%
29%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SUA
2 - 1
FLA
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |