Nueva Chicago vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 0
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
EST
21%
29%
50%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
MOR
25%
30%
45%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TEM
2 - 2
CHI
57%
26%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALV
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
ALM
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 1
DEP
41%
29%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 0
ALM
39%
30%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 1
TEM
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |