Novorizontino vs Itaborai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
HER
1 - 2
NOV
20%
26%
55%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
TUP
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
TUP
0 - 2
NOV
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
HER
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
NOV
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Itaborai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 3
BON
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
5 - 1
TUP
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
ITA
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
HER
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
ITA
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |