Novohrad Lučenec vs Svidník analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
13º
13º
33
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
54.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novohrad Lučenec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GIR
2 - 0
LUC
16%
21%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
STK
2 - 0
LUC
56%
22%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
BAR
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPI
3 - 0
LUC
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
NAM
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Svidník
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SVI
0 - 2
LIP
9%
17%
74%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
TAT
6 - 1
SVI
86%
11%
4%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SVI
1 - 1
ORA
22%
24%
55%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FIL
1 - 3
SVI
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GIR
1 - 0
SVI
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |