Novo Hamburgo vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
VER
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 4
GRE
15%
26%
59%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
NOV
34%
27%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ECS
1 - 0
NOV
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 0
ECA
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
SLU
1 - 1
CAX
28%
28%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 3
CAX
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
CAX
1 - 3
TRE
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 0
CAX
25%
29%
46%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |