Novese vs Villalvernia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PRO
0 - 1
NOV
38%
25%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
VER
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LAS
0 - 3
NOV
10%
18%
72%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
4 - 0
CAN
75%
17%
9%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Villalvernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
LAS
85%
11%
4%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 1
CAN
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
VIL
62%
20%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
NAV
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +3 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |