Novese vs Verbania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
NOV
38%
24%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 3
ASD
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACQ
0 - 2
NOV
21%
25%
54%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
AST
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
NOV
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Verbania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
FOL
24%
25%
51%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 1
VER
72%
17%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |