Quantcast

Serie D. Matchday 35

Novese vs Bogliasco analysis

Novese Bogliasco
18 ELO 23
-13% Tilt -2%
15814º General ELO ranking 15812º
429º Country ELO ranking 427º
ELO win probability
41%
Novese
28.6%
Draw
30.4%
Bogliasco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
Novese
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.4%
Win probability
Bogliasco
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Novese
+30%
+11%
Bogliasco

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
S. Christophe
º
83
83
0%
Imperia
º
50
50
11º
0%
Cantù San Paolo
º
8
9
18º
0%
Albese Calcio
º
31
31
17º
0%
Asti FC
º
39
39
16º
0%
Acqui
º
40
42
15º
0%
Verbano Calcio
º
46
46
14º
0%
Naviglio Trezzano
º
47
47
13º
0%
Bogliasco
º
48
48
12º
0%
Chiavari
º
51
51
10º
0%
Chieri
º
82
82
0%
Folgore Caratese
º
52
52
0%
Derthona
º
54
54
0%
Villalvernia
º
55
55
0%
Borgosesia
º
55
55
0%
Lavagnese
º
58
58
0%
Novese
º
60
60
0%
Santhià
º
67
67
0%
Lascaris
º
7
7
19º
0%
Expected probabilities
Novese
Bogliasco
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Bogliasco
BOG
Novese
NOV
Villalvernia
VIL
Caratese
CAR
ASD Asti
AST
Verbano
VER
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Novese
Novese
1%
X%
2%
ELO NOV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2012
BOR
Borgosesia
5 - 2
Novese
NOV
44%
27%
29%
255 270 15 -3
31 Mar. 2012
NOV
Novese
2 - 1
Villalvernia
VIL
46%
27%
28%
253 303 -50 +2
25 Mar. 2012
PRO
Imperia
0 - 1
Novese
NOV
47%
27%
26%
252 291 39 +2
21 Mar. 2012
NOV
Novese
0 - 1
Verbano Calcio
VER
46%
27%
28%
253 286 -33 -1
18 Mar. 2012
LAS
Lascaris
0 - 3
Novese
NOV
44%
27%
29%
251 250 -1 +3

Matches

Bogliasco
Bogliasco
1%
X%
2%
ELO BOG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2012
BOG
Bogliasco
6 - 0
Lascaris
LAS
46%
27%
26%
292 242 50 +3
25 Mar. 2012
BOG
Bogliasco
3 - 0
Cantù San Paolo
CAN
46%
27%
26%
290 229 61 +2
21 Mar. 2012
SAN
Santhià
2 - 0
Bogliasco
BOG
47%
27%
26%
292 327 35 -2
18 Mar. 2012
BOG
Bogliasco
2 - 2
Naviglio Trezzano
NAV
44%
27%
29%
292 298 -6 0
11 Mar. 2012
SCH
S. Christophe
1 - 0
Bogliasco
BOG
47%
27%
26%
293 325 32 -1